Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2071.976974 2260.043753 2452.375148 2663.491487 2888.425175 3120.626678 3378.158920
2024-10-06 1804.658745 2085.188685 2384.557581 2726.670380 3105.642829 3511.436609 3977.623706
2024-10-13 1604.729690 1937.117370 2303.348028 2734.451717 3225.594570 3765.285120 4400.656884
2024-10-20 1453.183256 1820.930986 2237.222570 2739.481134 3324.996769 3981.978081 4770.673851
2024-10-27 1277.792797 1659.622401 2103.123124 2650.731778 3302.854082 4048.698168 4960.019060
2024-11-03 1221.394551 1633.093458 2121.276361 2735.219049 3478.645193 4341.625120 5410.477926
2024-11-10 1156.377191 1589.721723 2113.772164 2784.296475 3608.962634 4579.449962 5796.493273
2024-11-17 1075.019169 1519.579611 2067.812989 2781.304180 3672.227129 4734.671540 6083.034358
2024-11-24 989.974833 1438.789554 2003.112141 2749.899482 3696.258655 4839.330630 6306.704020
2024-12-01 939.282303 1399.284701 1987.683422 2777.794492 3791.966302 5030.518374 6636.109129
2024-12-08 881.860889 1347.039515 1952.423599 2777.279589 3849.558385 5173.330403 6905.895619
2024-12-15 850.442413 1328.005472 1958.978679 2829.654502 3973.936858 5399.766036 7281.182888
2024-12-22 795.443650 1274.157197 1917.733677 2818.697819 4017.509633 5526.935332 7536.893013
2024-12-29 771.995094 1263.499324 1933.989674 2883.980721 4161.021969 5782.792949 7958.518954
2025-01-05 730.674839 1224.593331 1909.253613 2892.092007 4227.976194 5940.181621 8255.634735
2025-01-12 691.609049 1186.654861 1883.772233 2897.344288 4289.838976 6090.518865 8544.319238
2025-01-19 624.687759 1103.238954 1790.230318 2804.642388 4216.360133 6061.371257 8598.556111
2025-01-26 617.345152 1110.055279 1825.855702 2892.893055 4389.566587 6358.245727 9080.413379
2025-02-02 599.632953 1099.682633 1835.662839 2944.144359 4512.196133 6589.087025 9477.834105
2025-02-09 567.748745 1065.208800 1808.414092 2941.019773 4558.697572 6718.131375 9741.641769
2025-02-16 530.006779 1019.229189 1761.990589 2908.224684 4562.177819 6788.327034 9927.018501
2025-02-23 510.726425 1002.273230 1758.454143 2937.354878 4652.525537 6976.418469 10271.215684
2025-03-02 485.183201 973.507872 1735.574486 2936.817201 4700.050947 7106.068135 10537.618150